Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 22.562039 25.627388 28.970095 32.888186 37.358005 42.302030 48.190521
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 18.142274 22.125135 26.794711 32.682253 39.920753 48.546883 59.633321
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 14.783217 19.214903 24.760145 32.228127 42.055060 54.589662 71.864240
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.481202 17.218781 23.519560 32.548522 45.217873 62.456079 87.851179
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.783286 15.737348 22.717399 33.327916 49.158206 72.072610 108.070229
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.268844 14.262837 21.692662 33.636540 52.526545 81.534712 130.004227
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.302346 13.439353 21.491031 35.150392 58.005863 95.173692 161.123398
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.276892 12.352756 20.708289 35.622031 61.944745 107.148101 192.094629
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.207060 11.014433 19.298989 34.808234 63.593005 115.635447 218.909098
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.402413 9.999882 18.276470 34.494276 66.082157 126.095408 251.629802
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.938127 9.524117 18.139517 35.792726 71.845261 143.770019 302.272670
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.601825 9.234318 18.302697 37.706344 79.201793 166.023121 367.372137
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.133639 8.624540 17.779468 38.224993 83.991613 184.393869 429.411930
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.581481 7.749707 16.575471 37.094303 85.043491 195.046281 476.783835
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.108266 6.964407 15.431865 35.893606 85.734223 205.131395 525.615991
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.778486 6.442276 14.780305 35.712229 88.832383 221.662954 595.243612
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.531618 6.069393 14.407230 36.136211 93.548453 243.314572 684.443923
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.289598 5.666916 13.896922 36.126870 97.181600 263.068641 773.985642
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.147852 5.488229 13.905081 37.472234 104.772713 295.302364 909.259981
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.968426 5.182536 13.539980 37.747925 109.473012 320.594155 1030.795088
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.753033 4.745371 12.756858 36.707389 110.153319 334.365684 1119.677308
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.587479 4.415671 12.207792 36.237215 112.465321 353.700766 1233.113468
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.502752 4.298361 12.231040 37.489654 120.472531 393.059529 1428.920207